Posts Tagged ‘Penalties’


Statistically Speaking


You may have already noticed a few new buttons over to the left in the last week or so, under the subheading Statistics. These are the new look season statistics pages for 2010, although you can look back to 2009 to compare them as we have also updated last season’s statistics to reflect the new data. We just thought we’d take a few moments to introduce the new pages, giving an opportunity for feedback before the season starts.

Standings
Both the World Drivers’ and World Constructors’ Championship standings as you may have expected. The one minor change is to show the points gaps but otherwise, simple, straightforward and to the point with the man with the most points at the top.

Results
A quick summary of all the season’s race results on one handy page, including reasons for not finishing and podium positions highlighted for quick reference.

Qualifying
Similar to the Results page, a brief summary of qualifying position and final grid position for every race of the Formula One season.

Performance
Driver by driver, the basics statistics of how they have performed in 2010 in qualifying and the race, including a summary of Q1/Q2/Q3 distribution, handily graphed for comparison or if you just can’t deal with more numbers.

Team Mates
Every driver pairing goes head-to-head: Who’s the better qualifier out of Button and Hamilton? Does Schumacher put in better race performances than Rosberg? Who contributes the most points to the team’s total out of Glock and di Grassi? We don’t know but the numbers might point you in one direction or another.

Engines
Once again, teams are allowed eight engines per car over the entire season and this is the place to keep track of who has used how many. And new for 2010, the engine manufacturers side-by-side with percentage engine failures – BMW had the weakest engine last year, but who’ll take that crown this year?

Reliability
Engines aren’t the only thing that can go wrong, and the Reliability page summarises each team’s weaknesses: Virgin had how many hydraulic failures? Ferrari ran out of fuel how often? USF1 missed how many races?* Plus keep track of the gearbox cycle with each gearbox once again having to last for four events.

Penalty
Watching over the stewards, the Penalty Tracker shows who was punished, where and how throughout the season. Just think of it as F1’s Most Wanted.

Testing
The Pre-Season Testing Statistics page has been around for over a month now, detailing the key statistics from testing. If you haven’t seen it, it’s still here.

2009
Almost all the above statistics pages allow you to swap between them and last year’s statistics, allowing you to contrast with the 2009 season. In addition, you can access all of them together from the 2009 Statistics hub page. Did you know that Toro Rosso only completed three quarters of the maximum possible number of laps?

So that’s all the statistics pages, feedback and comments are more than welcome. The plan is to also graph much of the data as the year progresses – watch out for those here on the blog.


On the Naughty Step: Part 3, The 2008 Season


Well here it is, the third and final part of my naughty step trilogy. This time I am concentrating on the 2008 Formula One season and on trying to discover whether there is any inherent bias towards or against any one team. In particular, I plan to focus on Ferrari and McLaren since those are the two teams most frequently assumed to be more or less likely to have a penalty… but there will be more about that later.

The thing I noticed straight away from the 2008 season stewards reports is that the emphasis was firmly on the drivers, with what I would have considered “team” as opposed to “driver” indiscretions being received by the drivers alone.

First a bit about the stats, how I collected them, and how they were analysed.
After searching around the blogging community and with assistance from Maverick and Rubber Goat I was able to lay my hands on a complete set of steward records for the season. This was important, firstly because I didn’t want to add to any personal bias to the stats and secondly because it gives us a more complete picture of the changing attitude of the regulatory body.

How I calculated the constructors naughty points?

As in part 1, I awarded points for the various penalties. The highest score of 10 points was reserved for a race disqualification whilst a reprimand from the stewards received 1 point.

I looked at the total penalty points each driver received and also took account of those for minor, speeding in the pitlane type penalties. I also examined the total amount of fines a driver received for any incidents and divided those into speeding fines or fines for other offences. A final point, if a driver was fined and reprimanded he will have been given a number of points under the fine category and also a point for the reprimand; likewise if he impeded another driver he will have points under the impede category plus any points associated with a grid drop.

There are quite a few graphs to get trough before I get on to the “meaty stuff” so I’d best press on.



The good, the bad and the naughty?

Of the 22 drivers who took part in the 2008 season, 18 of then received a penalty of some sort. Surprisingly the only driver to have escaped a penalty in both 2008 and 2009 was Nelson Piquet Junior; shame he made up for his excellent behaviour so spectacularly at the Singapore GP last year. The other good guys were Sebastian Vettel, Mark Webber and Takuma Sato having neither fines nor penalties applied for the whole season. But as I mentioned earlier, some offences were relatively minor and some required grid drops or a disqualification. I’ll start with the easiest and most common category, speeding in the pitlane.



Eleven drivers received a fine for speeding; top of the list was David Coulthard on 4 fines with a further 5 drivers being guilty of multiple speeding offences. The graph on the right hand side of the panel shows the averaged fine per penalty. This gives us an idea who who was driving fastest through the pitlane, that honour goes to Rubens Barrichello, with Raikkonen, Bourdais and Coulthard not far behind.

Fines
There were more fines than those I have mentioned for speeding; 15 drivers received a monetary punishment bringing in a whopping 103,400 Euro’s to the FIA’s coffers.



The right hand graph shows the five drivers given a fine for something other than speeding. Coulthard was fined for failing to attend a drivers parade, Hamilton was fined for being late for an FIA press conference and for crossing the line at the entrance to the start of the pitlane in Europe. Raikkonen, was late for a drivers meeting. The other two penalties were more unusual; Kovalainen was fined for not switching off his engine during re-fuelling with a non-approved fuel rig and Barrichello was fined for decelerating early at the pit lane entrance.

Impeding another driver

Five drivers accrued points under this category with Nick Heidfeld gaining points twice. Funnily enough the “standard” penalty for blocking was a 5-place grid drop, except for Mr Heidfeld who was given a 3 place drop on both occasions, another example of FIA inconsistency?

There were a few other penalties of note but I’m pleased to see that there does seem to have been some properly defined tariff for these. Both Barrichello and Sutil had modifications made to their car whilst in the pitlane, the penalty for which was to start the race from the pit lane.

Alonso, Hamilton and Trulli each crossed the line at the start of the pitlane at one event, that was given a reprimand and a 10,000 Euro fine in all three cases. Hamilton and Rosberg were found to have caused a collision, both were given a 10 place grid drop for the next race whereas Kovalainen’s collision at Spa was punished with a drive through penalty.

So far so good, but on to the main question that I’ve been asked about, what of McLaren and Ferrari?

It’s tough at the top.



Let’s concentrate on the left hand panel first. On first inspection, both in terms of the total penalty points gained and the points awarded for penalties that were not related to speeding, McLaren were way ahead of Ferrari with 57 points to 22 points respectively. However, this initial analysis doesn’t look at the number of penalties that each driver within a team was awarded so, onto panel two.

Heikki Kovalainen’s three speeding penalties and Kimi Raikkonen’s two would tend to bias the data somewhat making it look like McLaren were penalised much more than Ferrari, but even when you ignore the speeding offences, both McLaren drivers are still ahead of the Ferrari pair in terms of the number of penalties achieved.

So how did the drivers get those penalties?

I’ll start with Heikki Kovalainen’s penalties which were not for speeding.

France – Driving very slowly during an outlap, hindering a driver on his fast lap (5 place grid drop).
Germany – Car refuelled with a non FIA approved race refuelling system and engine should have been stopped during refuelling (5000 euro fine).
Malaysia – Impeding two cars on their flying lap by travelling at slow speed on the racing line (5 place grid drop).
Belgium – Causing a collision (drive through penalty)

Next, Lewis Hamilton’s five penalties, none of which were for speeding.

Canada – Caused a collision (10 place grid drop).
Europe – Crossed the line at the entrance to the pit lane (reprimand and 10,000 fine).
Japan – Forced a driver off the track (drive through penalty).
Malaysia – Impeded a car on its flying lap by travelling at very slow speed on the racing line (5 place grid drop)
Belgium – Cutting a chicane and gaining an advantage (drive through penalty, given post race so becomes 25 second time drop)

Since Raikkonen only had penalties for speeding, the final round-up of penalties are those of Felipe Massa.

Europe – Unsafe release from pit stop although no sporting advantage was gained (reprimand and 10,000 fine).
Japan – causing a collision (drive through penalty).
Singapore – unsafe realease from pit stop (drive through penalty).

So what stands out as being obviously different in the treatment of the drivers?

Hamilton had two more penalties than Massa. It could be argued that Massa’s pit stop penalties impinged on his title chances as he took the penalty for the teams mistakes. That’s something that seems to be remedied this year as unsafe pit releases have been given team fines instead of driver fines.

Hamilton’s penalties on the other hand seemed to have been given for his more agressive approach to driving with the cutting of a chicane, forcing a driver off the track, causing a collision and impeding another driver amongst his tally. I’d have to suggest that these more serious offences should have been dealt with by stiffer penalties and that seems to have been the case, though I believe, not excessively so and here’s why.

Although Hamilton certainly has more points (because he has an extra 2 penalties), the normalised data show that the ratio of points per offence is not very different to Massa or Kovalainen’s. The actual numbers are Hamilton, 6 points per incident, Massa 5.3 points per incident whilst Kovalainen’s ratio is 5.25.

When taken together, the McLaren ratio comes out at 5.7 and Ferrari ’s remains at 5.3 because Raikkonen only had speeding offences which, like Kovalainen’s were not considered here.

Whilst it’s true that Hamilton had more points and penalties than Massa, I believe this ratio tends to quash the idea that seemed rife last year that Hamilton was unfairly penalised at every opportunity. I would argue that his agressive style of driving put him firmly in the stewards radar but that once they looked at the offences they did not overly punish him compaired to Massa on a points per incident basis.

One wonders what the ratio’s would have been like if Massa’s incidents had been been for his driving style as opposed to what I consider to be partly the fault of his team though I guess that’s something we’ll never know.

Were McLaren and Hamilton the FIA’s scapegoats at the expense of Ferrari? I guess that question is aimed at you.


Reflections on Grid Penalties


A large number of grid penalties in Japan caused confusion as to who was going to start where. Rubens Barrichello’s 5 place grid penalty dropped him from 5th to 6th while Adrian Sutil with the same penalty leapfrogged him, going from 4th to 8th. What was going on and can it be improved?

Consider a qualifying grid of 26 drivers, A through to Z (there, I’ve written off Sauber’s hopes of a 28-car grid next season!) who happen to finish qualifying in alphabetical order – how very neat. Unfortunately for that neatness, and the drivers in question, A, C and E, have incurred 5-place grid penalties. According to the 36.2c) of the Sporting Regulations: “Once the grid has been established… grid position penalties will be applied to the drivers in question in the order the offences were committed. If more than one driver incurs a penalty under Article 28.4a) or Article 28.6a) preference will be given to the driver whose team first informed the technical delegate that an engine or gearbox change will be carried out.” If nothing else, this rule encourages prompt reporting of infractions by the teams. Okay, bearing that in mind let’s assume that A broke the law first, followed by C, before finally E upset the stewards and see what the final starting order looks like:

The result is that all three drivers are effectively only moved back by three places as the other two penalties then help them out. Is that a problem though? Well, let’s shuffle up the order of penalties with C being the first driver caught out, followed by A, then E and see what happens this time:

Now we have a situation approaching that seen in Japan. Three drivers each given the same penalty but seemingly differing on application. Two drivers move back four places, one “gets away” with just a three place penalty. Is that wrong? Possibly, but the drivers behind each shuffled foward, which is surely the real objective. However, it doesn’t feel right – should a five place penalty be exactly that? The only way to ensure that is to award the penalties by starting from the back of the grid. Let’s try that: Driver E, then C, then finally A:

Now the punished drivers are each 5 places further back from where they qualified and you’ll also notice that a greater number of “innocent” drivers now benefit. Is that an improvement? Well before you decide, lets explore some other cases where the penalties are applied starting from the back. For instance, how does different size penalties change things? Take, for example, what happens if C picked up a 10-place penalty for an engine change or perhaps two separate 5-place penalties:

Well it’s not quite perfect, A and C are moved back the number of places the stewards said they would be but E gains one back from C’s larger penalty. Is that acceptable? Afterall, the 5 drivers behind E still moved in front of him so they have not been disadvantaged. If it is acceptable, why are the grid drops incurred in the first two examples not?

However, forcing the application of penalties from the back forwards falls apart when you look at the back of the grid, in this case drivers Z, X and V pick up 5-place grid drops in that order:

Driver Z get’s his penalty first and can’t drop any further but by the time X and V have been punished he’s gained 2 places! It seems, that at the back of the grid, they need to apply penalties from the front backwards. That may not seem such a problem, however, teams sometimes deliberately accept penalties, such as for gearbox changes, because the penalty is minimal at the back. Furthermore, the penalties could naturally occur in this order anyway. However, consider if driver V was forced to take a gearbox change on the Friday following free practice but driver Z opts for a gearbox change following qualifying purely as a precautionary measure. Should driver Z benefit from driver V?

Well, let’s see how the starting grid from Suzuka would have looked if we’d applied the penalties from the back of the grid forwards. Is it an improvement? I’m not so sure, it’s certainly easier to understand but nor is it a perfect solution:

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What do you think?